GIMME THE FACTS

It felt like a long time coming but winter has finally arrived in Northern California. It WAS a long time coming. However, as of Dec 1, we are almost back to average for precipitation this winter in Northern CA, and we ARE above average in Central and Southern Sierra. You heard that right: Not “below average”, but “above average”, thanks to a couple big late November storms, praise be to God who provides. In Northern CA, we are at 83% of average. In Central Sierra: 118% of average, and Southern Sierra: 147% of average. The snow pack is very similar: 82% North, 117% Central, and 128% for Southern Sierra as of Dec 1. This is fantastic news! I am not sure if the rain and snow will continue strong into December; there look to be a few storms in the next week or two but nothing really big.

So …. What’s the deal, man?

We always have dry periods throughout the winter. This is why I only tally the totals at the end of each month, not during the middle of the month. This year, our “first” dry period (and it won’t be the last one) began right at the beginning of the year, and in mid November we were at only 20% average for the year. But in two storms, we are now above average overall. Why bust your hearts looking at daily stats?

Sadly, the slow start was a major contributor to the Camp Fire, which was an awful and devastating catastrophe. But it did not cause the fire, nor did global warming cause it. The fire was caused by humans, (as are the vast majority of fires, by the way). Frankly, it makes me mad because the fire was (most likely) caused by PG&E negligence, and it should never have happened in the first place, and they did the exact same thing last year in Napa. Global warming should not be used as an excuse for accepting that devastating fires will occur. Do not say fires are the “new normal”. Let’s prevent fires from starting in the first place by being responsible.

I hear a lot that global warming is causing the drought in California. That is what everyone says, but is it true? What are the facts? Gimme the facts, man. If it is true, then shouldn’t we see an increasing pattern of dry winters in California? Yet:

2009 – avg
2010 – above avg
2011 – above avg
2012 – below avg
2013 – below avg
2014 – below avg
2015 – below avg
2016 – above avg (everyone seems to conveniently forget that 2016 was an above avg year, yet this was the year we started to climb out of the drought)
2017 – above avg
2018 – below avg
2019 – ???

I do not see any pattern of increasing dry winters here. Do you? I see an awful drought period, but even with that we have a 50/50 split of good/bad winters over the past 10 years. Going back further in years does not make any difference. Indeed, I checked back 50 years, and for every decade there was pretty much an exact 50/50 split of good vs. bad winters. 50 years! I also checked back 20 years for slow starts to the winter. I only found one other year (2014) that was as bad as this year to start (through mid November). Even so, we still ended up above average by the end of November 2018, and as I said that is why I only tally totals at the end of the month. So again, I do not see any pattern of increasing slow starts to the winter. Do you?

Are we even in a drought in California? What are the facts, man? Southern CA is still in a more serious drought, but Northern CA is not in a drought (or officially I guess you can say it is in a low drought status – which is normal after summer). I think it will all depend on if we have a good winter or a bad winter this year, as to whether we go back into a drought in California. Don’t say we are in a drought before winter has hardly even started. Let’s wait to see what happens by the end of the season. So pray for rain and snow! God is the only one that can seriously help and make a difference.

Anyhow … this photo is the upper waterfall of Bear River Reservoir Falls. It is 21 ft. high in total, including the upper 4 ft. tier. It is a pretty little one, but just a little one.

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RAIN RAIN DON’T GO AWAY

Rain rain don’t go away. Stick around for a few more months and days! After a much too long dry spell, we finally have our first winter storm of the season. On Thanksgiving Day! Praise the Lord. I will have more to say about the rain at the end of the month. In the meantime, I was looking forward to going hiking on Thanksgiving Day in the rain.

Our family dinner was on Wednesday night (get it in early, right?) so I was free on Thanksgiving Day to go out. Thursday looks much better than Friday for weather, and I also have a big hike planned on Saturday. So for Thursday, I wanted something close by. It did not matter what, or if I had been there before. But there was only an inch of rain on Wednesday, so nothing would be flowing yet. Normally, in this situation, I would pick my yearly go to waterfall: American Canyon Creek Falls, but I did not really feel like going to that one this year. I decided to go up to East Fork Falls.

It was raining pretty good when I arrived at the trailhead. I was hoping it would let up by the time I got down to the river. There was supposed to be a bit of a break, but that never happened. It basically rained the entire hike, though it did let up briefly now and again.

Even though there was only an inch of rain thus far, the river was much higher than I expected it to be. It seemed to be crossable, but quite deep. In order to get up to the falls, you have to cross the river, and wade up to the waterfall. I anticipated this part to be very tricky in the higher water. It was much lower when I was here before (and not raining).

All the way down, I kept thinking I should turn back and do a hike somewhere else. Yet I kept going, and finally arrived down at the river soaking wet, and still raining hard. Now maybe I should give up. I did not want to wade up to the river in the rain, or try and take photographs in the rain. Nonetheless, I put on my water shoes and started up the river.

There is a little baby waterfall you have to get up and over. Last time, I just climbed right up beside it, but today it seemed a little too strong to do that, so I had to climb up and around on the hillside, which was quite tricky with dangerous dropoffs, and the ground (of course) was wet and slick. I used my rope for safety. I got back down to the river above the little falls, then crossed over to the other side, and started up river to the waterfall. It was quite deep in places, but I made it. The last section requires wading through a deep pool and then climbing up (or jumping up) on a rock to finally view the waterfall. It is an amazing and very special place, and the falls were rockin strong. It was spectacular. I’m not happy with my photos, it is very difficult to photograph in the rain, and I was not properly prepared, which I should have been, but it is my first rainy hike of the season, so that is my excuse.

Anyhow, I would have liked to stay here much longer, but right after taking photos, the rain really started to come down. I still had to cross back over the river, and down that difficult slope, and then back up the mountain and through all the wet brush. It was time to get out of there. Once back up to the road, I did not mind hiking in the rain. Bring it on. It is just a bit too wet and uncomfortable when you are in the brush and off trail. I was a wet sloppy dog by the time I got back to the car. It was a very fun and very wet hike on the first rainy day of the season.

 

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DO NOT RELEASE

I honestly did not think I could get to this waterfall.

This is the same waterfall you see in my photo from last week, from a mile away. I determined to return to it this week, and try to get up close to the upper two drops on this river. I said I was going to wait until spring, but after examining the maps, I realized the only possible way to get to these falls would be to cross the river. No way that would be happening in the spring. It is go now or go bust.

I came down to the river crossing. The crossing looked very easy, thankfully. From a mile away, it is hard to determine how strong the river is flowing. However … it is daunting to look up above you and see a huge dam. They could release water at any moment. If I am on the wrong side of the river when that happens, I am skumped with no exit point. Do not release! Please! Well, I figured that on a Saturday afternoon in late Fall with no rain yet, it would be a safe bet to make the crossing.

On the other side, the route becomes extremely brushy. It is no cake walk. I came down to the upper falls, which was a bit smaller than I hoped, 21 ft. high (a generous measurement). I took some photos of it and continued on to the next one, the one I did not think I would be able to get down to. I came to the brink of the waterfall, but it was too steep to drop down from the brink. That meant I had to head up the canyon and find an easier way to drop down. The problem is, the brush! It was thick and nasty. I have quit hiking over less brush than this. But I was right there! I could see the falls! I had to find a way through this schmuck. I found a way. My legs were scratched up all the way from here to kingdom come, but I found a way through it. After this, it was a pretty easy descent down to the bottom of the falls, but the granite rock was slick, so I had to be careful. If it was wet, I would be sliding right into the river.

What a fun little waterfall! And so very pretty! I measured it 27 ft. high, but it seemed much bigger than that to my eye. I enjoyed it here very much, taking many photos. Then I headed back up quickly before they decided to release from the dam, arriving back at my car just before dark. It was a grand adventure at Bear River Reservoir.

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BURN

So as you all know, more wildfires recently started in California. In particular, the Camp Fire ravaged through and destroyed the town of Paradise and surrounding area. Many homes were lost, including homes of people I know. Some lives were lost as well. I hike up in this area often. It is close to home. I’m not going to say much more but I feel this fire should not have happened. Most likely it was caused by PG&E power lines, which is also likely how the Napa fires were started last year (though neither is officially determined). Such unnecessary devastation in my view.

Anyhow, this past weekend I went on another scouting expedition in search of waterfalls that I will return to in the spring. The first one I found, the creek was pretty much completely dry. I was surprised by this. All the large creeks I have seen this Fall have still been flowing decent; this was a large creek, and yet this one was dry. I did find a waterfall here, but I did not take photos. Thankfully, it was very easy to get to, so I will definitely return in the spring.

The second one I went to was much more difficult to reach. The canyon below Lower Bear River Reservoir is incredible. Getting down to see it is more incredible, and even more difficult. The cliffs here are totally extreme and wild. I found a view of the waterfalls and canyon after much trepidation and fear, standing on the edge of a sheer dropoff of hundreds of feet. I had thought this would be one big waterfall, but it seemed more like a series of smaller waterfalls. I saw 3 or 4 drops with a big space in between each of them. So from far off, as I was, it was not as impressive as I anticipated. Nonetheless, in the spring, with the river raging, it might seem more like one big slide and much more striking. Thus I think that I will return. However, I may try a different route next time. I think I might be able to get up close to the first waterfall and (perhaps) the second waterfall (not the third and fourth – as those are way too steep). I will definitely try that, maybe even sooner than later.

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HAYPRESS

This is the main Haypress Creek Falls, 32 ft. high. As you can see, it is a bit difficult to view it as the upper part is wrapped around a corner and out of sight. There is no better viewpoint of this one, nonetheless it is still an interesting spot. I think it would be much better at high flows, but then you would not be able to cross the creek, which I had to do to get to this location. The creek was extremely cold and my feet were numb, but otherwise it was not difficult to cross. It was a fun, short hike.

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